Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 149.163912 175.656009 207.956559 251.076395 308.488991 384.427244 496.416746
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 114.916535 145.870312 188.314325 253.671754 357.907677 531.081590 879.082265
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 94.129742 124.541942 169.135259 244.060011 378.790532 643.977433 1343.221778
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 85.667320 117.759182 167.888982 259.730311 447.351264 898.205247 2643.935915
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 75.109092 105.574322 154.988736 250.504899 462.685251 1051.584833 4254.792740
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 68.633826 98.605194 149.072770 252.138807 502.690031 1326.094786 8732.779340
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 62.642651 91.490292 141.470876 248.035355 526.957703 1593.245584 19267.589658
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 60.736128 90.871836 145.345962 269.424231 635.412076 2476.940524 291498.512777
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 60.543991 93.121010 154.992418 307.698640 834.493478 4938.539600 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 56.558878 88.013698 149.034118 305.094675 884.792853 6681.646429 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 53.734980 84.722913 146.299084 310.401777 977.080146 10496.224542 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 50.804343 80.914352 141.871791 309.713762 1044.119936 16044.477105 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 47.710760 76.815228 136.938365 308.554670 1126.597903 29256.969600 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 45.162195 73.571680 133.569622 311.864463 1251.807309 78912.453252 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 41.988359 68.769712 125.906736 298.927564 1256.968835 149543.526170 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 40.980829 68.197492 128.054921 320.050667 1566.153892 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 38.416789 64.199256 121.361540 307.592614 1572.564709 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 36.785615 61.991091 118.787277 309.794386 1738.478319 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 34.971971 59.249205 114.522459 304.268610 1819.200837 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 34.682112 59.694588 118.434735 333.209830 2461.581784 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 35.053061 61.596989 126.560493 385.834136 4031.306083 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 33.596619 59.326127 122.917273 382.220714 4399.119238 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 32.562027 57.921428 121.532648 389.590217 5257.908710 NaN NaN